Skip to main content

Table 2 The expected match probability (EMP) of the kits/panels.1

From: Developing criteria and data to determine best options for expanding the core CODIS loci

Panel (number of STR loci) Unrelated Parent/child Full sibling
  Fst = 02 Fst = 0.01 Fst = 0 Fst = 0.01 Fst = 0 Fst = 0.01
New FBI core (24)3 6.28 × 10-30 5.12 × 10-29 3.63 × 10-18 1.15 × 10-17 3.49 × 10-11 4.86 × 10-11
New FBI core section A (20)3 9.54 × 10-25 4.77 × 10-24 3.83 × 10-15 9.37 × 10-15 1.74 × 10-9 2.29 × 10-9
13-loci CODIS core (13) 2.34 × 10-15 5.83 × 10-15 1.74 × 10-9 2.86 × 10-9 3.39 × 10-6 4.05 × 10-6
Identifiler (15) 5.93 × 10-18 1.73 × 10-17 5.04 × 10-11 9.17 × 10-11 4.21 × 10-7 5.17 × 10-7
PowerPlex16 (15) 2.43 × 10-18 7.48 × 10-18 3.06 × 10-11 5.74 × 10-11 3.61 × 10-7 4.45 × 10-7
NGM4 (15) 1.12 × 10-19 4.15 × 10-19 5.68 × 10-12 1.17 × 10-11 2.03 × 10-7 2.52 × 10-7
  1. 1Caucasian population data were used.
  2. 2Fst is the autosomal short tandem repeat (STR) co-ancestry coefficient for population substructure correction. 3The DYS391 locus is included only in 'New FBI core' and 'New FBI core section A', and no population substructure correction was applied to this locus.
  3. 4NGM has the same STR loci as the 'European loci' excluding the SE33 locus.
\