Table 1 Distribution of the posterior probability (P) with a given LR and number of victims (v)
| Â | Likelihood ratio (LR) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prior odds = 1/( v - 1) | 100 | 1,000 | 10,000 | 100,000 | 1,000,000 |
1/(10-1) | 0.917431 | 0.99108 | 0.999101 | 0.99991 | 0.999991 |
1/(50-1) | 0.671141 | 0.953289 | 0.995124 | 0.99951 | 0.999951 |
1/(100-1) | 0.502513 | 0.909918 | 0.990197 | 0.999011 | 0.999901 |
1/(500-1) | 0.166945 | 0.667111 | 0.952472 | 0.995035 | 0.999501 |
1/(1,000-1) | 0.090992 | 0.50025 | 0.909174 | 0.990109 | 0.999002 |
1/(2,000-1) | 0.047642 | 0.333444 | 0.833403 | 0.980402 | 0.998005 |
1/(5,000-1) | 0.019612 | 0.166694 | 0.666711 | 0.95239 | 0.995026 |